4 August 2017
USA fragile-state development
By: Karsten Riise
There are strong measurable signs of social fragility and state-insecurity inside the USA.
The pro-military faction in the USA is undisturbed by social-reality still performing its old theatre:
http://csbaonline.org/reports/the-trump-administrations-fy-2018-defense-budget-in-context
USA fragile-state development
By: Karsten Riise
There are strong measurable signs of social fragility and state-insecurity inside the USA.
The pro-military faction in the USA is undisturbed by social-reality still performing its old theatre:
http://csbaonline.org/reports/the-trump-administrations-fy-2018-defense-budget-in-context
You wonder what
these people had really imagined to make their dreams come true.
This US élite is so disconnected from long-time broader developments in the US society.
(and often, it may sometimes seem, from the world at large).
An élite increasingly disconnected from social reality can seriously undermine the state – it is one of the parameters leading to a “Fragile State”:
http://fundforpeace.org/fsi/indicators/c2/
This US élite is so disconnected from long-time broader developments in the US society.
(and often, it may sometimes seem, from the world at large).
An élite increasingly disconnected from social reality can seriously undermine the state – it is one of the parameters leading to a “Fragile State”:
http://fundforpeace.org/fsi/indicators/c2/
Though the Fragile
State description of the C2 “Factionalized Elite” fragility indicator is not in
its definition-wording a perfect match to the social fragmentation in the USA,
it has already been noted by observers, that the C2 fragility indicators is
steeply rising in the USA.
The total “fragile state” indicator had been deceitfully stable for the USA. But since 2006, the USA has experienced a significant deterioration (increase) in all three alarm-indicators for “Cohesion” - C1 “Security Apparatus”, the C2 “Factionalized Elite” indicator, and the C3 “Group Grievances”.
(see attached PDF with detailed USA Fragile State Index developments 2006-2017)
The total “fragile state” indicator had been deceitfully stable for the USA. But since 2006, the USA has experienced a significant deterioration (increase) in all three alarm-indicators for “Cohesion” - C1 “Security Apparatus”, the C2 “Factionalized Elite” indicator, and the C3 “Group Grievances”.
(see attached PDF with detailed USA Fragile State Index developments 2006-2017)
The main reason why
the sum-total “Fragile State” indicator has not gone up in the USA, is that two
“Social Indicators” S1 “Demographic Pressures”, S2 “Refugees and IDP’s” have
been gone down, masking that the C1-3 indicators are going up at an alarming
pace. Furthermore, the “Fragile States” index even has one false indication ,
as it reports that the E2 “Uneven Development” indicator should have improved
in the USA. The E2 indicator is definitely incorrect. It is a widely accepted
social fact in the USA, that Uneven Development has not improved, but has also
seriously deteriorated.
Though not one-to-one exactly the same, a remarkably similar development has occurred in the UK as compared to the USA.
Though not one-to-one exactly the same, a remarkably similar development has occurred in the UK as compared to the USA.
The social
fragility developments in especially the USA (but also in the UK) should worry
the world.
- A security study of the USA should be conducted
- Study social threats to inner social-economic and political stability of the USA
Karsten Riise
Partner & Editor
CHANGE NEWS &
CHANGE MANAGEMENT
